Fairfield
W-L: (29- 5) PR = 95.7944Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 75-63 1108 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 88-60 1113 A So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 80-72 1115 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 68-82 1125 A New Haven NE N ( 4-17, 90.4) 79-60 1130 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 72-86 1205 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 69-72 1207 A Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 93-73 1212 A Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 74-51 1219 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 84-58 1221 A Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 84-65 1229 A Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 84-59 101 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 72-43 103 A Niagara MAAC ( 2-27, 89.8) 98-42 108 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 84-62 114 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 63-49 114 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 63-49 117 A Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 76-54 119 A Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 86-50 122 A Niagara MAAC ( 2-27, 89.8) 81-51 124 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 58-42 129 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 58-72 131 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 60-43 205 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) **-48 207 A Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 82-46 212 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 69-43 214 A Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 75-63 219 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 62-30 221 A Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 81-51 228 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 67-50 306 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 69-53 308 A Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 65-48 309 A Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 51-44 321 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 60-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A Villanova 75-63 12 -1 + 2.52
1108 A Lehigh 88-60 28 2 0.00
1113 A So Florida 80-72 8 0 1.65
1115 H No Carolina 68-82 -14 -2 -0.39
1125 A New Haven 79-60 19 5 0.00
1130 H Iowa 72-86 -14 -2 0.00
1205 H Howard 69-72 -3 1 - -3.17
1207 A Richmond 93-73 20 0 + 2.14
1212 A Maine 74-51 23 2 0.28
1219 A Rider 84-58 26 4 0.00
1221 A Merrimack 84-65 19 3 0.00
1229 A Manhattan 84-59 25 4 0.00
101 A Canisius 72-43 29 5 0.00
103 A Niagara 98-42 56 6 0.00
108 A St Peters 84-62 22 5 0.00
114 A Marist 63-49 14 4 0.00
114 A Marist 63-49 14 4 0.00
117 A Manhattan 76-54 22 4 0.00
119 A Siena 86-50 36 4 0.00
122 A Niagara 81-51 30 6 0.00
124 A Canisius 58-42 16 5 0.00
129 H Quinnipiac 58-72 -14 1 - -3.46
131 A Sacred Heart 60-43 17 4 0.00
205 A Marist **-48 61 4 0.00
207 A Iona 82-46 36 3 0.00
212 A Mt St Marys 69-43 26 4 0.00
214 A Quinnipiac 75-63 12 1 0.56
219 A St Peters 62-30 32 5 0.00
221 A Siena 81-51 30 4 0.00
228 A Sacred Heart 67-50 17 4 0.00
306 A Sacred Heart 69-53 16 4 0.00
308 A Merrimack 65-48 17 3 0.00
309 A Quinnipiac 51-44 7 1 0.56
321 H Notre Dame 60-79 -19 -1 -0.70
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 H Howard 69-72 -3 1 - -3.17 129 H Quinnipiac 58-72 -14 1 - -3.46 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1105 A Villanova 75-63 12 -1 + 2.52 1207 A Richmond 93-73 20 0 + 2.14 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 75-63 -3.60 7.36 0.01 0.89 13.16
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 88-60 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.89 7.99
3 A So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 80-72 -4.47 6.49 0.01 0.89 11.61
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 68-82 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.89 -1.11
3 A New Haven ( 4-17, 90.4) 79-60 -9.51 1.45 0.01 0.89 2.61
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 72-86 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.89 -0.87
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 69-72 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.89 -2.35
3 A Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 93-73 -3.97 6.99 0.01 0.89 12.49
3 A Maine (18-13, 94.1) 74-51 -5.84 5.12 0.01 0.89 9.16
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 84-58 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.89 4.25
3 A Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 84-65 -7.00 3.96 0.01 0.89 7.09
3 A Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 84-59 -7.70 3.26 0.01 0.89 5.84
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 72-43 -9.06 1.90 0.01 0.89 3.40
3 A Niagara ( 2-27, 89.8) 98-42 -10.13 1.00 0.01 0.89 1.80
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 84-62 -8.67 2.29 0.01 0.89 4.11
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) 63-49 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.89 5.66
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) 63-49 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.89 5.66
3 A Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 76-54 -7.70 3.26 0.01 0.89 5.84
3 A Siena (13-18, 91.8) 86-50 -8.08 2.88 0.01 0.89 5.16
3 A Niagara ( 2-27, 89.8) 81-51 -10.13 1.00 0.01 0.89 1.80
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 58-42 -9.06 1.90 0.01 0.89 3.40
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 58-72 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 0.89 -2.48
3 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 60-43 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.89 5.51
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) **-48 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.89 5.66
3 A Iona (21-12, 92.8) 82-46 -7.07 3.89 0.01 0.89 6.96
3 A Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 69-43 -7.71 3.25 0.01 0.89 5.81
3 A Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 75-63 -5.55 5.41 0.01 0.89 9.67
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 62-30 -8.67 2.29 0.01 0.89 4.11
3 A Siena (13-18, 91.8) 81-51 -8.08 2.88 0.01 0.89 5.16
3 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 67-50 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.89 5.51
3 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 69-53 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.89 5.51
3 A Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 65-48 -7.00 3.96 0.01 0.89 7.09
3 A Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 51-44 -5.55 5.41 0.01 0.89 9.67
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 60-79 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.89 -1.25
------
173.67
|
winning pts = 181.7395 losing points = -8.0693
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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